That’s not to say that you want to play all of the popular plays on a given day, though. There can be situations where you should play a guy even if 100% of entries have him - Kyrie Irving on days when Luka Doncic doesn’t play is an obvious example because he takes so many more shots and gets so many more assists when Doncic is off the floor. The result of projections being more accurate is that the best strategies for NBA DFS tend to focus more on popular players than other sports.

The misconception is that predictability makes NBA DFS easier to win at, because everyone has the same advantage compared to other sports it’s still an even playing field.